what kind of Product Manager are you - Specialist or Generalist or T-shaped

A Product Manager is like Water - It fills all gaps.

From a skillset point of view, a PM can be of following types:

1. 
A PM who is specialized in a given product domain (either payments, or search, or recommendations) is called a Specialist.

A PM who has worked extensively in a given industrial sector (EduTech, FoodTech, HealthTech, FinTech, etc.) is also categorized as one.

A PM who has the expertise to build products for a given department (marketing products, or supply chain products, or backend office products, etc.) can also be termed one.

2. 
A PM who has built products for a variety of domains/sectors/departments is a Generalist.

3. 
A T-shaped PM is a mix of above.
The base of the letter T is a vertical bar that signifies depth - This is the same as Specialization.
The top of the letter T is a horizontal bar that signifies breadth - This is the same as Generalization.


4 pillars of Product Management and their respective Archetypes

Elon Musk - SpaceX
Vision - Should be stable & not be changed for min 2-5 years

Jeff Bezos - Amazon
Strategy - Should be iterated & refined until you find product-market fit

Steve Jobs - Apple
Design - Should deliver a useful, usable, & delightful experience to your customers

Stewart Butterfield - Slack
Execution - Relentlessly doing whatever it takes to win
(Spend 60% of your time on execution - the rest 40% was for above 3 steps)

7 Times 7 Ways - Rule of Marketing

Marketing's Rule of 7 states that a prospect needs to hear the advertiser’s message at least 7 times before they’ll take action to buy that product or service.

Marketing's 7 x 7 Rule means sharing the message 7 times in 7 different ways.

Using various media helps to ensure people have heard, understood and implemented the message. Different people notice different things every time they see or hear a message, which makes this rule necessary.

It’s a marketing maxim developed by the movie industry in the 1930s.
Studio bosses discovered that a certain amount of advertising and promotion was required to compel someone to see one of their movies.

But, today, without a clearly-defined marketing strategy to map out how you’ll touch that prospect at least 7 times, your odds of success are pretty slim.
In fact, today you might need more than those 7 times just to be heard above all the clutter that’s in people’s Newsfeeds or fields of vision.



Credit:
KruseControlInc.com/rule-of-7-how-social-media-crushes-old-school-marketing/
Quora.com/What-is-the-7-times-7-rule-in-marketing
Implementation-Hub.com/articles/3X3_Rule_Plus_7x7_Rule.pdf

a Funny take on Industry 4.0 technologies - no offences Please

In essence, industry 4.0 is the trend towards automation and data exchange in manufacturing technologies and processes which include cyber-physical systems (CPS), the internet of things (IoT), industrial internet of things (IIOT), cloud computing, cognitive computing and artificial intelligence.




the peculiar Management Tool that Jeff Bezos uses at Amazon meetings

In a S-Meeting (senior executive meetings) at Amazon, before any conversation or discussion begins, everyone sits for 30 minutes in total silence, carefully reading 6 page printed Memos - also called as Narratives. Some people also call it a customer-centric vision narrative.

There are 3 clear benefits of this process:

1.
Writing a good six-page evidence-based narrative is hard work. 
Precision counts.
It is hard to summarize a complex business in 6 pages.
So, teams work for hours preparing the document for these reviews. 
So, it requires the team writing the document to really deeply understand their own space, gather their data, understand their operating tenets and be able to communicate them clearly.

2.
A great document enables our senior executives to internalize a whole new space they may not be familiar with in 30 minutes of reading thus greatly optimizing how quickly and how many different initiatives these leaders can review.
Outsiders sometimes look at Amazon and wonder how Amazon can possibly focus on so many different businesses at once. 
The answer is that Amazon has fundamentally innovated in how to scale the process of bringing groups of people deeply up to speed in new spaces and making critical decisions based on that insight quickly.

3.
Reading together in the meeting guarantees everyone’s undivided attention to the issues at hand.

Jeff Bezos said:
The traditional kind of corporate meeting starts with a presentation.
Somebody gets up in front of the room and presents with a PowerPoint presentation, some type of slide show. 
In our view you get very little information, you get bullet points. 
This is easy for the presenter, but difficult for the audience. 
And so instead, all of our meetings are structured around a six-page narrative memo.
If you have a traditional PPT presentation, executives interrupt. 
If you read the whole six-page memo, on page 2 you have a question but on page 4 that question is answered.

Bezos also said:
Full sentences are harder to write.
They have verbs.
The paragraphs have topic sentences.
There is no way to write a six-page, narratively structured memo and not have clear thinking.


***** About the Meeting *****

1.
The meeting really will begin with silence as everyone digests the content.

2.
Each participant may have his/her own way for digesting that information, i.e. some may take notes on the document; others won't.

3.
Discussion is very focused around the proposal.

4.
The participants in these meetings are incredibly sharp, and you can expect the meeting to be among the most difficult and intellectually challenging that you will ever attend.

5.
Data is king, and as noted, the appendix better be well researched, or it is likely to be your last 6-pager.

6.
Reportedly, Jeff will consistently surprise the presenter with at least one question that is the proverbial "two steps ahead", considering big picture and macro factors that the presenter may never have considered him/herself.



***** Narrative's main elements *****

1)
The context or question

2) 
Approaches to answer the question – by whom, by which method, and their conclusions

3) 
How is your attempt at answering the question different or the same from previous approaches

4) 
Now what? – that is, what’s in it for the customer, the company, and how does the answer to the question enable innovation on behalf of the customer?

5) 
Appendixes.
The appendixes carry the data, the validation, the information that feeds into the narrative that doesn't carry the structure, but is needed for completeness and cross reference.



***** About the Narrative *****

1.
The six pages and the structure of the document itself is ultimately arbitrary.

2.
It's the forced revision/improvement/validation that is forced to fit into six pages that is critical.

3.
By forcing a limited set of pages it forces the author (or authors) to go through numerous drafts to reshape the document, polishing it by ejecting, rewriting abstracting and summarizing as you go along. 

4.
The six pages is a hard limit.

5.
This also forces are reasonable taxonomy and structure of information within the subsections and a good ordering of information. This repeated revision to fit takes the mental work that the reader must undertake to correlate and rationalize the information.

6.
There isn’t any template for the Memo.
However, there is guidelines. The write-up should be clear, concise, data driven, logical, and accurate. The best example you should reference is Jeff Bezos’s annual letter to shareholder. It’s a great example of clear and thoughtful business writing (instead of creating PowerPoints.)

7.
The memo draws out the causes and effects of what’s going on, the forces at play, and what other players might do – all so that the decision-makers can predict what happens next and choose a course of action.

8.
Narrative shows a series of events, revealing how one impacts the next.

9.
The sort of language you hear in a narrative is ‘But then …’ and ‘Because of that …’ and ‘So now …’.

10.
The narrative becomes a container for what is happening and what might happen.

11.
It can also hold people’s opinions and points of view, so you might have language like ‘It’s my view that …’ and ‘I recommend …’.

12.
Without the narrative, you just get a series of disconnected facts and opinions.
Collectively, it won’t make sense.


***** What a Narrative looks like *****

In the past it was like this …
Then something happened …
So now we should do this …
So the future might be like this …


Screenshot of the email Bezos sent in 2004
announcing the decision to dump PPT from S Team meetings


Credits:
Anecdote.com/2018/05/amazons-six-page-narrative-structure/
Phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=97664&p=irol-reportsannual
Use-cases.org/2018/01/03/the-evil-genius-of-the-amazon-six-page-narrative/
Use-cases.org/2018/04/23/exploring-cognitive-engagement-in-amazons-six-page-narratives/
Quora.com/How-are-the-six-page-narratives-structured-in-Jeff-Bezos-S-Team-meetings
Fortune.com/2012/11/16/amazons-jeff-bezos-the-ultimate-disrupter/
Forbes.com/sites/drewhansen/2013/03/07/how-jeff-bezos-makes-big-decisions-at-amazon/#71a709ae4b5b
Blog.idonethis.com/jeff-bezos-self-discipline-writing/
Linkedin.com/pulse/beauty-amazons-6-pager-brad-porter
Media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/irol/97/97664/reports/Shareholderletter97.pdf

evaluating the various types of Attribution Modeling done for Marketing Analytics

Digital marketing today is scattered - People access from multiple devices, clear cookies, or use multiple browsers, which makes it difficult to track their entire journey.

To understand this, consider below example:
On Monday, a visitor sees your post on Instagram, clicks it, visits your site, and leaves.
On Wednesday, s/he clicks on your ad in IMDb.com, visits your site, and leaves.
On Friday, s/he clicks on a Google Search result, visits your site, and leaves.
On Saturday, s/he types your website's URL in a browser, visit your site, and makes a purchase.
Now, which channel (Insta, IMDb, Google Search, Direct) will you attribute your purchase to?

Attribution Modeling is a framework for analyzing which touchpoint(s) or channel(s) or interaction(s) receive the credit for a conversion.

***** Attribution Models types *****

1.
Last Interaction Attribution or Last-Click or Last-Touch

Though many of the interactions prior to the last-click are important, this model simply ignores them and gives 100% credit to the last interaction of your user before s/he converts on your site/app.

Default attribution model in most platforms, including Google Analytics.

In the case of our example, this model attributes the purchase to direct traffic.

Most accurate.

Simple & Straightforward - Easiest to evaluate.

Fit for those who have a short buying cycle.

It gives a good idea of the strongest channel.

Used if the sales funnel is wide at the top, but narrow at the bottom.

2.
First Interaction Attribution or First-Click

Exactly opposite of Last-click, it gives 100% credit to the first interaction.

In the case of our example, this model attributes the purchase to Insta.

Most accurate.

Simple & Straightforward - Easiest to evaluate.

Fit for those who have a short buying cycle.

If there is a tendency to convert customers immediately, then their first touchpoint is especially important.

Used if the business goal is bringing in new top-of-the-funnel customers.

3. 
Last Non-Direct Click

Exactly the same as Last-click, except that it eliminates any 'direct' interactions that occur right before the conversion.

In the case of our example, this model attributes the purchase to Google Search.

By eliminating the direct traffic, this model assigns value purely to the marketing strategy that led to the conversion.

4. 
Linear Attribution

Splits credit equally between all the interactions.

In the case of our example, this model attributes the purchase equally (25%) to Insta, IMDb, Google Search, Direct.

5. 
Time Decay Attribution

Exactly the same as Linear attribution, except that it also takes into consideration when the touchpoint occurred.
Interactions that occur closer to the time of purchase have more value attributed to them.
The first interaction gets less credit, while the last interaction will get the most.

Fit for those who have a long sales cycle (such as for expensive B2B purchases).

6. 
Position-based Attribution or U-shaped attribution

Exactly the same as Linear attribution, except that 40% weightage is given to 1st interaction, 40% weightage is given to last interaction, and the remaining 20% is equally split between the remaining ones.

In the case of our example, this model attributes the purchase - 40% to Insta, 10% to IMDb, 10% to Google Search, and 40% to Direct.

Fit for businesses that have multiple touchpoints prior to a conversion.

7.
Custom Attribution Models

Google Analytics lets you create these.

Obviously, gives deeper insights.

Difficult to create.

Requires a lot of data.

Used for businesses having long buying cycle and plenty of data.



Credits:
Kaushik.net/avinash/multi-channel-attribution-modeling-good-bad-ugly-models/
NeilPatel.com/blog/best-analytics-attribution-model/
Support.google.com/analytics/answer/1033861
Support.Google.com/analytics/answer/1033861
Support.google.com/analytics/answer/1665189
Support.google.com/analytics/answer/1662518
Support.google.com/analytics/answer/2909452
Support.google.com/analytics/topic/3180362
AgencyAnalytics.com/blog/marketing-attribution-models

essential Software Tools & Applications for Internet Product Managers

Project tracking & management:
JIRA

Roadmapping:
Aha!

Bug-&-issues tracking & management:
JIRA, Bugzilla, Redmine, 

Analytics:
Google Analytics, Omniture

Flowcharts & user-journeys:
Creately, LucidChart

Wireframing:
Balsamiq, Moqups, Draw.io, MS Paint, MS Powerpoint, Mockingbird, Snag-it, Pop, Hotgloo, Omnigraffle, Axure,



Mockups (extremely rarely done by PMs):
UxPin, Axure, Illustrator, Sketch, Photoshop, 

Prototypes:
Axure, Pop, Keynote, Vision, Proto.io 

Data churning:
MS Excel

Documentation:
MS Word, Grammarly, Writer Pro, Quip, iA Writer

Voice communication:
Caller, Whatsapp groups

Video communication:
Whatsapp call, Google hangout, MS Skype, MS teams

Written communication:
GMail, MS Outlook, Whatsapp groups

Data-sharing:
Googe Docs, Google Sheets, Google Drive, 

Presentations:
MS PowerPoint, Slideshare

Knowledge management & sharing:
Confluence (Atlassian), Slack, Whatsapp groups

Meeting Scheduling:
Google Calendar

Notes management:
Evernote, Recorder, Physical notebook, Full Page Screen Capture (browser extension), Just read (browser extension), Delicious (bookmark management),

Remote working:
VPN

Web conferencing:
UberConference, Adobe Connect, Cisco Webex (product)

A/B testing:
VWO

Knowledge search:
Reddit, Yahoo Answers, Google, Wikipedia, Quora, Medium, Youtube, Linkedin groups, Read out aloud (Browser extension),

Heatmapping:
CrazyEgg

Mobile testing:
Mobile/Responsive Web Design Tester (browser extension)



Credits:
Quora.com/What-are-the-essential-software-tools-and-applications-most-commonly-used-by-a-product-manager-of-web-products

mixing the magic-potion of Personalization in the drink of Entertainment

An OTT (over-the-top) media service is a streaming media service offered directly to viewers via the Internet.
OTT bypasses cable, broadcast, and satellite television platforms, the companies that traditionally act as a controller or distributor of such content.

The main goal of any OTT platform's recommender system is to get the right media in front each of its consumers.

The thumbnail of the media plays a huge role in demystifying this problem statement.

If the thumbnail can capture something compelling for the consumer, then it will act as a gateway into that media by giving him/her some visual evidence for why the media might be good for him/her.

A thumbnail may have either just the title of the media, or the media's actor's face, or a screenshot of an exciting moment from media, or screenshot of a scene from the media that conveys the essence of the same.

Understand this with the given example of the Indian 2020 biographical, period, action, drama, thriller, movie Tanhaji:

1. If a consumer has seen a few Ajay Devgan's movies recently on your platform, the thumbnail of Tanhaji-movie having his face can make the consumer click and watch it.

2. If a consumer has seen a few Saif Ali Khan Pataudi's movies recently on your platform, the thumbnail of Tanhaji-movie having her face can make the consumer click and watch it.

3. If a consumer has seen a few Indian period movies recently on your platform, the thumbnail of Tanhaji-movie, showing the actor Sharad Kelkar as the Indian king Shivaji Maharaj, can make the consumer click and watch it.

4. If a consumer has seen a few action movies recently on your platform, the thumbnail of Tanhaji-movie, showing the classic "Ajay-on-horse vs Saif-in-air" scene can make the consumer click and watch it.

So, now the point/problem is:
How to find the thumbnail that will be compelling enough for the consumer to click?

One solution to this problem is:
Find the single perfect thumbnail using AB, for each media.

A better solution would be:
Find the best thumbnail for each consumer that highlights the aspects of a given media that are specifically relevant to them.

Challenges in showing a different thumbnail to each different customer:

1.
Because only a single thumbnail can be used to represent each media in each place for a given user, the thumbnail selection becomes a chicken-and-egg problem operating in a closed-loop: if a user plays a media it can only come from the thumbnail that we decided to present to that user.
So, the challenge is to understand that when the user played a media, whether he was influenced by the thumbnail and when the user played it regardless of which thumbnail was presented.

2.
The next challenge is to understand the impact of changing thumbnail for a given media between sessions - but continuous changes can also confuse people.
Does changing thumbnail reduce the findability of the media and make it difficult to visually locate the media again?
Does changing the thumbnail itself lead the user to now consider it, which s/he had previously rejected?
Changing thumbnails also lead to an attribution problem, as it becomes unclear which thumbnail made a user in a given media.

3.
The next challenge is of understanding how a given thumbnail performs in relation to other thumbnails we put up the same page or session.
Maybe a bold close-up of the main character works for a media on a page because it stands out compared to the other thumbnail.
But if every media had a similar thumbnail then the page as a whole may not seem as compelling.
Looking at each thumbnail in isolation will not be enough and we need to think about how to select a diverse set of thumbnails across various medias on a page and across a session.
The effectiveness of a thumbnail for a media will also depend on what other types of evidence and assets (e.g. synopses, trailers, etc.) we also display for that media.

4.
To achieve effective personalization, we will need a good pool of thumbnails for each media - By good, we mean engaging, informative and representative of a media to avoid “clickbait”.
The set of thumbnails for a media also needs to be diverse enough to cover a wide potential audience interested in different aspects of the content.

5.
Finally, there are engineering challenges to personalize thumbnails at scale.
When you have a platform having millions of media, and hence millions of thumbnails, using personalized selection for each media means handling a peak of over million requests per second with low latency.
Such a system must be robust: failing to properly render the thumbnail in UI would significantly degrade the experience.
Also, the personalization algorithm also needs to respond quickly when a new media goes LIVE on the platform, which means rapidly learning to personalize in a cold-start situation.
Then, after launch, the algorithm must continuously adapt as the effectiveness of thumbnail may change over time as both the media evolves through its life cycle and member tastes evolve.

Credits:
Microsoft.com/en-us/research/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/p661.pdf
Netflix.com/in/
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Over-the-top_media_service
NetflixTechBlog.com/selecting-the-best-artwork-for-videos-through-a-b-testing-f6155c4595f6
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Recommender_system
Media.Netflix.com/en/company-blog/the-power-of-a-picture
NNGroup.com/articles/personalization/
NetflixTechBlog.com/artwork-personalization-c589f074ad76
NNGroup.com/articles/customization-personalization/

Rdio - Music Streaming Product - 2015 Growth Failure story

In this post we will study "Rdio", which was a popular Music Streaming Product that failed miserably.

******* Choronology *******

2010 Aug
Rdio; the first modern music streaming service; was launched by Skype's founders Niklas Zennström and Janus Friis.
It had to compete with services such as Deezer, MOG, Napster, Rhapsody, and Spotify.
It offered a $5 web-only streaming plan (on the assumption you might not have a mobile device) and a BlackBerry app (in case you had a bad one).
Its catalog was limited to 7M songs, well short of the 30M tracks that it and its rivals now provide.


2013 Sep
Rdio added a music recommendations feature that delivered personalized albums, stations, and playlists.

2014 Jan
Rdio introduced some free streaming options, supported by audio advertisements.

2015 Nov
Rdio filed for bankruptcy.
Reached a deal to sell certain assets and intellectual property to a competitor, Pandora, for $75M.

2015 Dec
Rdio service was discontinued.

******* Experience *******

Using Rdio felt like the future.

Though, securing label deals took so long that the app was in development for two years before it launched, and it showed in the polished product delivered by its team.

Its blue-and-white design was calming.

Its simple grid of album artwork was a powerful rebuttal to iTunes’ nightmare spreadsheets.

It had innovative social features, showing you what your friends were streaming in real time.

It had a "heavy rotation" playlist that highlighted albums based on how many friends had listened to them.

"Social from the ground up — it sounds like marketing speak, but it was legit," said Chris Becherer, Rdio’s head of product. "The founding premise was the best music recommendations come from the people you know. That was the whole idea."

It got music people to explore and listen to more new+old music than they ever had before.
It always surfaced things people didn’t yet know they should be listening to.

Overall an excellent product.

******* Growth & Marketing *******

Early as it was to the United States, Rdio was born in the shadow of Spotify, a cunning and well-financed competitor that excelled at generating buzz — and using that buzz to acquire paid subscribers.

As streaming music became a playground for giants, Rdio turned to a terrestrial radio company in a last-ditch effort to grow the user base.

Ultimately, executives decided that Rdio’s only future lay in becoming part of an internet-based platform, even if it meant disassembling the service they had been building for more than five years.

Even in late 2010, when it began to spread among design-savvy early adopters in San Francisco, people were already talking about the coming launch of Spotify.
The Swedish streaming service wouldn’t launch in America for several months, but it quickly came to define online music in the popular imagination.
Its secret: free on-demand streaming, supported by advertising.
By contrast, Rdio required a paid subscription.

Rdio eventually developed a free tier, but it came long after Spotify launched in the United States.
More pressingly, the company struggled to make the case for its own unique service.

Rdio never had a dedicated marketing chief for more than a few months at a time.
Early on, the company contracted with West, a San Francisco-based agency run by Allison Johnson, Apple’s former head of marketing.
But many people inside the company blamed the lack of in-house marketers on its lack of traction. Later, Mark Ruxin, who joined Rdio after it acquired his app Tastemaker, served in the role.
But he only served in it for a few months before leaving.

By 2013, Spotify had rocketed to 24 million users, 6 million of whom paid.

Struggling to stand out, Rdio turned to Cumulus Media, which operated 525 terrestrial radio stations.

Cumulus took a large equity stake in the company; in return, its sales force began selling ads for Rdio, which enabled the company to finally offer the free, ad-supported version of the service that Spotify had been offering in various forms since 2008.

Cumulus also promised to promote Rdio on its popular stations.

But the resulting signups were apparently nothing to brag about.

******* Feature Prioritization *******

Rdio sometimes focused on the wrong things.

It invested many product cycles in refining its queue — a place to collect things you want to listen to later.

Every other music streaming service offers a queue that’s a simple list of tracks.

But if you dragged an album or a playlist into Rdio’s queue, Rdio would recognize it as a distinct object, so you could drag and drop an album above a track, or a full playlist below an album.

"That was not a major differentiating factor," says Wilson Miner (Design Head) "If we hadn’t had something like that, nobody would have noticed and it would have been fine. I still wish we could have solved it, but it was more of a personal quest than a brutally honest assessment of priorities."

******* Leadership & Radio-focus *******

Jun 2013, just before the Cumulus deal was announced, Rdio CEO Drew Larner announced he was stepping down.

Former employees say Larner was never totally comfortable being CEO; his expertise was in dealmaking, and he thought the company needed a leader whose talents lay in product and user growth.

Malthe Sigurdsson, its head of product and the person who oversaw its innovative design efforts, quit a month after Larner.

In Nov, Rdio laid off a third of its staff.

And while development on the core product continued, it increasingly felt radio-focused.

In August it added live radio stations to the app, a move designed to capitalize on the success of iHeartRadio, an app developed by the company formerly known as Clear Channel.

Earlier this month, Cumulus wrote down its investment in Rdio by $19 million.

******* Economics of Music *******

The economics of streaming music are brutal. Record labels have nearly all the leverage, and take most of the gross revenue from streaming services.

The only way to win is to achieve a massive scale — which is why Spotify has raised more than $1 billion, spending heavily to add subscribers in hopes they will lead to a sustainable business.

Rdio realized this only belatedly.

"Rdio, I guess, made the mistake of trying to be sustainable too early," Wilson Miner says. "That classic startup mistake of worrying about being profitable and having a business that makes any sense before you’ve reached this astronomical growth curve. Which is partly the trap of the business model itself. Because of the content licensing deals, the margins for the business were so incredibly thin. No matter what we did, the labels made the lion’s share of the revenue. You have to make it up with extreme volume, which is why you see Spotify going after every human being in the world."

And yet even with more than 75 million users and 20 million paid users, Spotify still isn’t profitable. It remains to be seen whether Apple or Google can turn their own streaming offerings into viable businesses — or whether they will simply use music as a loss leader to draw consumers further into their respective ecosystems, making the money back on hardware sales or other services.

******* Cause of Death *******

Multiple!
Marketing failure, Growth failure, and Leadership failure.

Niklas Zennström


Credits:
Linkedin.com/in/drew-larner-5b51bb34/
Linkedin.com/in/wilsonminer/
Linkedin.com/in/becherer/
Linkedin.com/in/malthe/
Linkedin.com/in/niklaszennstrom/
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Rdio
TheVerge.com/2015/11/17/9750890/rdio-shutdown-pandora

Wesabe - the 2010 FinTech Product Failure story

Wesabe was a personal finance company.

It analyzed a user's financial data to provide appropriate advice on how to save money.

Established in Dec 2005, it's site went live in Nov 2006, and they shut down in Jul 2010.

Received an approx $4M funding from Union Square Ventures and O'Reilly Alphatech Ventures.
Wesabe started generating revenue in late 2008, ran completely out of invested funds and survived solely on revenue almost 9 months before closing the company.

Marc Hedlund was the first person to start work on Wesabe and formally co-founded the company (as Chief Product Officer) with his high school friend, Jason Knight (CEO). 
Jason later left due to a family illness, Marc took over as CEO; without a formal peer; for the final two years.

When the company closed, Marc wrote a postmortem on the experience.
Following is a paraphrased; & improvised with images; version of his blogpost.

******** HISTORY ********

In Nov 2006, Wesabe launched as a site to help people manage their personal finances.

We certainly weren’t the first to try to tackle this problem through a web app, but we were the first of a new wave of companies that came out in the months that followed, characterized but what some would call a Web 2.0 approach to the problem.

Like Flickr and del.icio.us, we relied on community and features such as tags; unlike some of the previous attempts, we tried to automatically aggregate and store all of our users’ financial accounts on the web (instead of relying on manual data entry, say, or desktop storage of the data); and most especially, we tried to learn from the accumulated data our users uploaded, and make recommendations for better financial decisions based on that data.

If every copy of Quicken started out as a blank spreadsheet, Wesabe tried to accumulate knowledge from users and data that would fill in some of that spreadsheet for you, and point you in the direction of better choices.

Wesabe's website

Even before we launched, we heard about other people working on similar ideas, and a slew of companies soon launched in our wake.

None of them really seemed to get very far, though, and we were considered the leader in online personal finance until September 2007, when Mint launched at, and won, the first TechCrunch 40 conference.

From that point forward we were considered in second place at best, and they overshadowed our site and everyone else’s, too.

Two years later, Mint was acquired by Intuit, makers of Quicken (and after Mint’s launch, the makers of Quicken Online) for $170M.

Mint's website

I made nearly all of the product decisions myself, and was notorious with Jason and our board as being very hard-headed about those decisions.

While I relied on many other people in making product choices, I also hired and managed all of those people, so that group was at the least a reflection of who I thought had the right values and ideas.

******** FACTS ********

Wesabe launched about 10 months before Mint, but we didn’t capitalize on that early lead.

There’s a lot to be said for not rushing to market, and learning from the mistakes the first entrants make.
Shipping a MVP immediately and learning from the market directly makes good sense to me, but engaging with and supporting users is anything but free.

Observation can be cheaper.
Mint did well by seeing where we screwed up, and waiting to launch until they had a better approach.

Mint’s design was exceptional, but if other, stronger forms of lock-in are in place first, design alone can’t win a market, nor can it keep a market.

Neither of Mint nor Wesabe, bore any resemblance to a typical Silicon Valley success story, with traffic surging up and to the right (YouTube, Twitter, etc).
Mint aggressively acquired users by paying for search engine marketing (reportedly spending over $1 for each user), while Wesabe spent almost nothing on marketing; yet in the end we grew at about 1/5th the rate they did.
Their traffic dropped substantially for the 6 months after their acquisition, and has had sawtooth traffic after that.
Our patterns followed non-scalable curves (influenced primarily by press wins, economic conditions, and sometimes drafting on Mint’s coverage).

******** POSTMORTEM - A ********

We chose not to work with Yodlee, but failed to find or make a replacement for them (until too late).

Yodlee is a company that provides automatic financial data aggregation as a web service.
They screen-scrape bank web sites (that is, read the payee and amount and date by parsing them out of the bank’s web site, writing a custom parser for each bank they support).

When we talked to Yodlee in 2006, the company was crumbling, having failed to get acquired and losing executives.

They were also very aggressive in negotiation, telling us they would give us six months’ service nearly free and then tell us the final price we’d be charged going forward.

Since they had effectively no competitors, we didn’t believe we should tie our company to a single-source provider, especially one in very bad business shape.

Mint used Yodlee (at least until they were acquired - I’m not sure what they’re doing now) to automatically get user’s data from bank sites and import them into Mint, and as a result had a much easier user experience getting bank data imported.

Wesabe built our own data acquisition system, first using downloadable client programs (partially because that was easier and partially to preserve users’ privacy) and later using a Yodlee-like web interface, but the Yodlee-like version didn’t launch until six months after Mint went live, and even then didn’t really work as a near-complete replacement for some time after.

A good friend argues that our mistake was not using Yodlee in the first place, and maybe – probably – it was.

I believe, though, that we could have made that choice as long as we immediately assumed that someone else would eventually sign up with Yodlee, and that we had to be at least as good if not better than what Yodlee provided, however we got there.

PageOnce, for instance, has not used Yodlee, but has grown very significantly in the same time, using a combination of other aggregation methods that were more effective than ours.

Mint’s dependence on Yodlee apparently suppressed their acquisition interest among companies that knew Yodlee well (such as Microsoft, Yahoo, and Google); since we had developed our own technology for aggregation, we didn’t have that particular problem, and in fact had some acquisition interest simply for the aggregator we’d built.

We just didn’t build it nearly fast enough. 

******** POSTMORTEM - B ********

Mint focused on making the user do almost no work at all, by automatically editing and categorizing their data, reducing the number of fields in their signup form, and giving them immediate gratification as soon as they possibly could.
We completely sucked at all of that. 

Instead, I prioritized trying to build tools that would eventually help people change their financial behavior for the better, which I believed required people to more closely work with and understand their data.
My goals may have been noble, but in the end we didn’t help the people I wanted to since the product failed.
I was focused on trying to make the usability of editing data as easy and functional as it could be.

Mint was focused on making it so you never had to do that at all.
Their approach completely kicked our approach’s ass.

But their data accuracy; how well they automatically edited; was really low.
And anyone who looked deeply into their data at Mint, especially in the beginning, was shocked at how inaccurate it was.
The point, though, is hardly anyone seems to have looked.

Between the worse data aggregation method and the much higher amount of work Wesabe made you do, it was far easier to have a good experience on Mint, and that good experience came far more quickly.

******** CRUX ********

1.
That one mistake (not using or replacing Yodlee before Mint had a chance to launch on Yodlee) was probably enough to kill Wesabe alone.

2.
Everything I’ve mentioned – not being dependent on a single source provider, preserving users’ privacy, helping users actually make positive change in their financial lives – all of those things are great, rational reasons to pursue what we pursued. 
But none of them matter if the product is harder to use, since most people simply won’t care enough or get enough benefit from long-term features if a shorter-term alternative is available.


3.
A domain name doesn’t win you a market.
Launching second or fifth or tenth doesn’t lose you a market.
You can’t blame your competitors or your board or the lack of or excess of investment.

4.
Focus on what really matters: Making users happy with your product as quickly as you can, and helping them as much as you can after that. 
If you do those better than anyone else out there you’ll win.
I think in this case, Mint totally won at the first (making users happy quickly), and we both totally failed at the second (actually helping people).
No one, in my view, solved the financial problems of consumers - No one even got close.
Yes, both products helped some people – ours mostly through a supportive community and theirs mostly through giving people a rough picture of where their money has gone.

5.
But when we analyzed the benefits we saw for our users, and when Mint boasted about the benefits they saw for their users, the debt reduction and savings increase numbers directly matched the national averages.
Because our products existed during a deep financial crisis, consumers everywhere cut back, saved more, and tried to reduce their debt.
Neither product had any significant impact beyond what the overall economy led people to do anyways.

6.
Changing people’s behavior is really hard. 
No one in this market succeeded at doing so – there is no Google nor Amazon of personal finance. 

Marc Hedlund


Credits:
Linkedin.com/in/precipice/
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Wesabe
Blog.Precipice.org/why-wesabe-lost-to-mint/
TheSmarterWallet.com/2009/wesabe-review-free-online-money-management-tool/

if you Choose an Answer to this Question, what is the Chance that you will be Correct

We will try to solve the famous mathematical probability paradox in this post, which goes like this:

if you choose an answer to this question at random,
what is the chance you will be correct?
(A) 25% 
(B) 50% 
(C) 60% 
(D) 25%
******** STEP 1 ********

We will have to assume that this is a multiple choice question (MCQ), as there are 2 options - A & D - with the same answer (25%)

So, we have 4 options.

Following are the logic formulas that we will use to solve the problem:

Logic S
If only 1 option of the 4 options is correct, then the probability would be =
1/4 =  25%

Logic K
If 2 options of the 4 options are correct, then the probability would be =
2/4 =  50%

Logic G
If 3 options of the 4 options are correct, then the probability would be =
3/4 =  75%

Logic Z
If only all 4 options are correct, then the probability would be =
4/4 =  100%

Logic V
If none of 4 options are correct, then the probability would be =
0/4 =  0%

******** STEP 2 ********

As we can see in the logic S/K/G/Z, 
a 60% probability of getting the right answer does not exist.
So, we rule out option C

If option A is correct, then option D will also be correct.
Or to say, 2 options are correct.
So, going by logic K:
if 2 options of the 4 options are correct, then the probability would be =
2/4 =  50%
But the value of A & D is 25%
So, we rule out both options A & D

Finally, if option B is correct.
Or to say, 1 options is correct.
So, going by logic S:
if only 1 option of the 4 options is correct, then the probability would be =
1/4 =  25%
But the value of B is 50%
So, we rule out option B

******** STEP 3 ********

Summary/Answer is hence, that there is no correct answer.
Or to say, 0 option is correct.
So, going by logic V:
if none of the 4 options is correct, then the probability would be =
0/4 =  0%
Which is unfortunately not listed here!
And, that's the reason that this questions is a paradox.

brushing up the commonly used Retail jargon

Brick-and-Mortar
A business that has a physical storefront that provides products or services on-site.
It usually has no eCommerce options.

Mom-and-Pop
It is a type of Brick-and-Mortar
A small, family-owned or independent business.
Also called "local shop".
(shops' example: grocery, hardware, restaurants, physician, chiropractor, therapist)

Brick-and-Click
Click-and-Mortar
A Brick-and-Mortar that has a website that allows online shopping.

B2B
Business-to-Business
A market where one business makes a commercial transaction with another.

B2C
Business-to-Consumer
A market where a consumer buys from a business entity.

C2B
Consumer-to-Business
A business model in which consumers create value that businesses consume.
Example: Fiserv, Partner program of Quora

C2C
Consumer-to-Consumer
A market that provide an innovative way to allow customers to interact with each other.
Example: eBay, OLX

D2C
Direct-to-Consumer
A situation when the business sells products directly to customers, bypassing any third-party retailers, wholesalers, or any other middlemen.
DTC brands are usually sold online only and specialize in a specific product category.
Example: Casper, Warby Parker, Everlane, Harry’s, Outdoor Voices, AWAY, and Dollar Shave Club.

B2G
Business-to-Government
A market where a business provides products/services to a Gov entity.
Example: A Public-Private partnership (PPP or 3P or P3) is a kind of B2G where a private company provides products/services to Gov for infrastructure provision, such as the building and equipping of schools, hospitals, transport systems, and water and sewerage systems.

O2O
Online-to-Offline
Offline-to-Online
A 2-way flow between the offline retail and online retail aka ecommerce.
Works in multiple ways like:
1. Consumer see an ad online, and then visit the store to buy the product
2. Consumer is in a physical store which stocks one quantity of each product for display purpose. The consumer is expected to place order via the kiosk installed in the store
3. Consumer pays for a product online, and then picks it up from an offline place/store


Contrast Climate Pricing - Sales & Marketing strategy - Micro-Economics at play

I this post I would like to discuss a Sales Strategy that I recently gathered from Peter Thomson's video...

Before you quote the price to the consumer, create a contrast; aka climate; for the same, because otherwise, the price will either look too cheap or too expensive to the user, basis their prior experience.

Setting up the climate means to inform the user of the monetary value of:

[a]
Advantages that s/he would get by using your product

[b]
Effort or Cost that went into preparing the given product/service

or, in the worst case the monetary value of:
[c]
Disadvantages that s/he would get by not using your product

******************

So, for example, Peter himself uses this strategy while sales-pitching his seminars to his TG.

Instead of saying:
The ticket price for my seminar on <skill name> is $50."

He says:
"I've spent over $100k
learning this <skill name>
by buying online courses, video programs, audio podcasts, books, attending seminars, paying for coachings, etc.
I've also tested all that knowledge in the real market.
And, now, I would like to share
the same knowledge; that I have put in one place; with you in my seminar -
The ticket price for which is $50 only."





Credits:
Amazon.com/Sales-Letters-Sizzle-Herschell-Gordon/dp/0844235474
Linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6467700251707957248
YouTube.com/watch?v=RXc3K-4Wsf0

Apple's Job Interview Questions

We have a cup of hot coffee and a small cold milk out of the fridge.
The room temperature is in between these two.
When should we add milk to coffee to get the coolest combination earliest (at the beginning, in the middle, or at the end)?

How much does the Empire State Building weigh?

How do you check if a binary tree is a mirror image on left and right sub-trees?

What superhero would you be and why?

Explain what RAM is to a five year old.

How does an airplane wing work?

Draw the inside architecture of an iPhone.

Give me 5 ways of measuring how much gasoline is in a car.

If you have 2 eggs, and you want to figure out what's the highest floor from which you can drop the egg without breaking it, how would you do it?
What's the optimal solution?

How would you break down the cost of this pen?

Describe an interesting problem and how you solved it.

Explain to an 8-year-old what a modem/router is and its functions.

How many children are born every day?

You have 100 coins laying flat on a table, each with a head side and a tail side.
10 of them are heads up, 90 are tails up.
You can't feel, see or in any other way find out which side is up.
Split the coins into two piles such that there are the same number of heads in each pile.

How would you test your favorite app?

There are three boxes, one contains only apples, one contains only oranges, and one contains both apples and oranges.
The boxes have been incorrectly labeled such that no label identifies the actual contents of the box it labels.
Opening just one box, and without looking in the box, you take out one piece of fruit.
By looking at the fruit, how can you immediately label all of the boxes correctly?

Scenario:
You're dealing with an angry customer who was waiting for help for the past 20 minutes and is causing a commotion.
She claims that she'll just walk over to Best Buy or the Microsoft Store to get the computer she wants. Resolve this issue.

A man calls in and has an older computer that is essentially a brick.
What do you do?

Are you smart?

What are your failures, and how have you learned from them?

Have you ever disagreed with a manager's decision, and how did you approach the disagreement?
Give a specific example and explain how you rectified this disagreement, what the final outcome was, and how that individual would describe you today.

You put a glass of water on a record turntable and begin slowly increasing the speed.
What happens first — does the glass slide off, tip over, or does the water splash out?

Tell me something that you have done in your life which you are particularly proud of.

Are you creative?
What's something creative that you can think of?

Describe a humbling experience.

What's more important, fixing the customer's problem or creating a good customer experience?

Why did Apple change its name from Apple Computers Incorporated to Apple Inc.?

You seem pretty positive.
What types of things bring you down?

Show me (role play) how you would show a customer you're willing to help them by only using your voice.

What brings you here today?

Given an iTunes type of app that pulls down lots of images that get stale over time, what strategy would you use to flush disused images over time?

If you're given a jar with a mix of fair and unfair coins, and you pull one out and flip it 3 times, and get the specific sequence heads heads tails, what are the chances that you pulled out a fair or an unfair coin?

What was your best day in the last 4 years?
What was your worst?

When you walk in the Apple Store as a customer, what do you notice about the store/how do you feel when you first walk in?

Why do you want to join Apple and what will you miss at your current work if Apple hired you?

How would you test a toaster?

If you are to go up the mountain one day and come down the next day, leaving at the same time, will you ever be at the same place at the same time of day?

Are you the type of person people come to for technical issues?

62 - 63 = 1
Changing only one element (either digit or operand), make this statement true.

What is your favorite ice cream?

How do you create an efficient supply chain model?

Describe a time when you hurt a friend and how did you handle it?

How would you plan a hand gliding trip for your colleagues to North Korea?

What sort of data would you ask for when looking to bring iPhone to a new market?



Source:
https://www.businessinsider.in/44-of-the-hardest-questions-Apple-will-ask-in-a-job-interview/What-sort-of-data-would-you-ask-for-when-looking-to-bring-iPhone-to-a-new-market-Finance-candidate-at-Apple/slideshow/58550053.cms

Loss Leader - Pricing & Marketing strategy - Micro-Economics at play

A Loss leader is a marketing & pricing strategy.

Here, a product or service that is offered at a price that is not profitable.

Usually the product is priced lower than its production cost.

It is also called Penetration pricing as the manufacturer attempts to penetrate the market by pricing its products low.

The loss leader is usually a product that customers purchase frequently, and thus they are aware that its unusually low price is a bargain.

Purpose:

1.
To attract new customers.

2.
To sell additional products and services to those customers.

3.
To force competitors out of business.

4.
Hope is that once the customer buys the product from the store/website/brand, s/he will buy other products and become loyal to the store/website/brand.

5.
Some retailers place loss leaders at the back of their stores so consumers will have to walk by other, more expensive products to get to them.

6.
Introductory pricing can also be a loss leader, where company offers a low introductory rate to entice clients to use a product. Then, after snagging the client, the company raises its prices.

Examples:

1.
Gillette gives their razor units away for free knowing that customers must buy their replacement blades, which is where the company makes its profit.

2.
Microsoft's Xbox One video game console.
It was sold at a low margin per unit, as Microsoft knew that there was potential to profit from the sale of video games with higher margins and subscriptions to the company's Xbox Live service.


Flipkart selling essential goods at Rupee 1

Risks & Failures:

1.
Loss leader pricing fails for those some consumers who leave without buying other products or subscribing to the brand. This consumer practice of jumping from shop to shop and picking up loss leader items is called Cherry Picking.

2.
Considered a controversial strategy, loss leading is banned in 50% of U.S. states and some European countries.

3.
Usually the small-business competitors (biz owners) are hit most badly when a large corp. decides to go loss-leading way for some of its products.

4.
Even the suppliers to companies who follow a loss leader strategy experience pressure to keep their own prices low so that the company using a loss leader strategy can continue to do so.

5.
Customers can stockpile the loss leaders.
or
Even the small businesses can stockpile the loss leaders.
To counter such risks the loss leaders should be provided with limits.


Credits:
Investopedia.com/terms/l/lossleader.asp
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Loss_leader

Skeuomorphic vs Flat vs Flat 2.0 (season 4 of 4)

In case you've missed out the earlier 3 parts of this series you can read them here:
  1. Skeuomorphic design language
  2. Flat design language
  3. Flat 2.0 design language
In this final leg of the design language series, we will compare Skeuomorphic, Flat, and Flat 2.0.

Comparisons
1.
Skeuomorphism and flat design aren’t as far apart as they appear.
A camera icon, for example, still appears on the camera functionality in iOS 7, just like it did in iOS 6.

2.
To encourage people to use the smartwatch, manufacturers needed to convince them to give up their old watches and hence the faces of smartwatches are designed to mimic that analogue watch experience.
So, it can be argued that the smartwatch itself is skeuomorphic.
It’s not a watch.
It’s a computer.
But it’s a computer that you wear on your wrist.
The current designs which all mimic the wristwatch may be a gentle way to ease consumers into a transition before a new form of iconic design arises for future generations of smartwatches.

3.
NNg considers Realism as a design style that mimics physical items or textures purely for aesthetic reasons (while skeuomorphism supports a metaphor to help users understand the interface) - One example is 2012 Apple's Top-Nav that uses aesthetic (glossy 3D) effects which do not help in usability.

4.


Examples


Icons-screen comparison
Skeuomorphism used in iOS 6 vs Flat desgin used in iOS 7

Skeuomorphism used in Smartwatch

Icon-to-Icon comparison
Skeuomorphism used in iOS 6 vs Flat desgin used in iOS 7

Top-Nav comparison
Skeuomorphism (2007), Realism (2012), Flat (2015)


Credits:
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Material_Design
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Metro_(design_language)
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Windows_Phone_7
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Skeumorphism
En.Wikipedia.org/wiki/Flat_design
Cleveroad.com/blog/flat-design-vs-material-design-how-different-they-are
99designs.com/blog/trends/skeuomorphism-flat-design-material-design/
Interaction-design.org/literature/article/skeuomorphism-is-dead-long-live-skeuomorphism
NNgroup.com/articles/flat-design/
Visual.ly/community/Infographics/technology/ios-6-vs-ios-7
OSxDaily.com/2013/06/11/ios-7-vs-ios-6-visual-comparison/
DesignModo.com/flat-vs-material/
Gowtham.design/blog/material-vs-flat/
YouTube.com/watch?v=TfzEPtLPnP4
Hongkiat.com/blog/flat-20/